For irrigated soybeans, the average yield adjustment across all counties is nearly 5 bushels. That weather and delayed planting progress led to market and analyst expectations of low 2019 corn acreage and yields. The USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) released the 2019 estimated average county yields for corn, soybeans, and other crops on February 20. This adjusted yield is what is currently being used in the Gardner Program Payment Calculator to project 2019 ARC-CO payments for McLean county. USDA NASS Releases Wheat Production Data by County December 12, 2019. While the NASS yields provide some additional guidance, we want to continue to emphasize that 2019 ARC-CO payments will remain estimates through the March 15th enrollment deadline. This is an average of annual deviations between FSA and NASS yields for soybeans in McLean county, which range from -0.8 (in 2013) to 5.7 bushels (in 2016). FSA will use crop insurance data collected by RMA in calculating county yields for ARC-CO, which will differ from yields reported by NASS. The corn yield reported by NASS for 2019 in McLean county was 198.8 bushels per acre, resulting in an adjusted yield of 203.7 bushels per acre. Have specific subject questions for one of our experts, click the arrow to the right. Upland Cotton 2019 Yield Per Harvested Acre by County for Selected States U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service For example, county yields for 2019 were released in February 2020. Click here to access the Quick Stats database. FSA has released yields from 2013 through 2017 for calculating benchmark revenue. Deviations between the FSA and NASS yields (FSA yield minus NASS yield) were calculated for each year, and then averaged, to arrive at the county yield adjustment factors applied to NASS yields. Published yields are on a per harvested acre basis. The soybean yield adjustment factor for McLean county Illinois is 1.8 bushels. County estimates can be found in QuickStats at https://quickstats.nass.usda.gov. Wheat acres in the county were 10,600 acres of wheat planted with 8,000 acres harvested in 2019. Regional Change in Rental Rates from 2015-2019 Following is a table showing the total percent change in land rental rates for the five years from 2015 through and including 2019 and the one-year change Land Rental Rates Thus, the adjusted NASS yields used in the Gardner Program Payment Calculator and What-If Tool are likely more reliable for areas in the Central Corn Belt with non-irrigated or combined (all) production types, and less reliable for areas outside the region or where irrigated production will be reported separately by FSA for ARC-CO. The annual deviations between FSA and NASS yields for McLean county range from -9.9 (in 2015) to 12.9 bushels (in 2014). All values are bushels per acre, per year. This is an average of annual deviations between FSA and NASS yields for soybeans in McLean county, which range from -0.8 (in 2013) to 5.7 bushels (in 2016). However, ARC-IC calculates all crops on a farm together and utilizes farm-level historic … Included in the tables are: the most recent yield, the 10-year average, and the high and low yield in the past 10 years. Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, Department of Agricultural, Environmental and Development Economics. The 2019 NASS county yields are available at http://www.nass.usda.gov/ Approximately, 6 percent of the corn and soybean base acres were enrolled in the farm yield-based Ag Risk Coverage (ARC-IC) program choice for 2019 and 2020. The farmdoc daily website falls under University of Illinois copyright and intellectual property rights. “NASS cannot publish a county yield unless it receives enough reports from producers in that county to make a statistically defensible estimate. Today’s post further clarifies the definition of those yield adjustments and discusses implications for the uncertainty that will continue to surround estimated 2019 ARC-CO payment rates. NASS County estimates where utilized if crop insurance yield data did not exist (or was not sufficient) and if the yield reported by NASS was reflective of the given irrigation practice. Final yields used by FSA could be above or below current projections based on NASS data, resulting in significant changes in ARC-CO payment rates from our current forecasts. The corn yield reported by NASS for 2019 in McLean county was 198.8 bushels per acre, resulting in an adjusted yield of 203.7 bushels per acre. Break-even yields are calculated at USDA’s January estimates of Market Year Average (MYA) prices: $3.85 per bushel for corn, $8.40 per bushel for soybeans, and $5.50 per bushel for wheat. This adjusted yield is what is currently being used in the Gardner Program Payment Calculator to project 2019 ARC-CO payments for McLean county. On June 11, USDA’s World Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB) lowered the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (June WASDE) projected corn yie… The ~ Providing Timely, Accurate and Useful Statistics in Service to U.S. Agriculture ~, County and District Geographic Boundaries, Crop Condition and Soil Moisture Analytics, Agricultural Statistical Board Corrections, United States Hog Inventory Down 1 Percent, U.S. Horticulture Operations Report $13.8 Billion in Sales, USDA to Conduct 2020 Local Food Marketing Practices Survey, USDA Appoints Members to the Advisory Committee on Agriculture Statistics, 2019 Organic Survey results show sales up 31% from 2016, U.S. Corn and Soybean Production Down from September, USDA NASS to Reinstate the Agricultural Labor Survey Previously Scheduled for Oct. 2020, NASS Reschedules North American Potatoes Report to December 9, USDA NASS to Suspend the October Agricultural Labor Survey, USDA NASS to Collect Additional Harvested Acreage Information, USDA NASS to Re-Survey North Dakota Operators with Previously Unharvested Corn and Soybeans, 2017 Census of Agriculture Highlight Series – Farms and Land in Farms, 2017 Census of Agriculture Highlight Series – Economics, 2017 Census of Agriculture Highlight Series – Demographics, How to find 2017 Census of Agriculture Data, Statement of Commitment to Scientific Integrity, NASS Civil Rights and Anti-Harassment Policy Statement, Civil Rights Accountability Policy and Procedures, Contact information for NASS Civil Rights Office, Agricultural Statistics: A Historical Timeline, As We Recall: The Growth of Agricultural Estimates, 1933-1961, Safeguarding America's Agricultural Statistics Report, Application Programming Interfaces (APIs). 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